Attachment 1

Johnman’s Week 2 NFL Bets & NCAA Picks

College-NFL Football Bets/Anaylsis

3 Team Parlay, risk $50 tw $300

LSU-33,
Home vs an inferior team , LSU is 10th nationally and looking to climb with a blowout win.
Southern Miss +47,
Saban gets his teams up quick and loves the game control ending,
rarely resulting in many 40pt+ victory margins
Florida Atlantic +1.5,
I like taking home teams + minimal pts when the public is betting the road team.

Reverse , $200 tw $800

Texas-San Antonio +13
Never heard of this college, ever. Boone Pickens Stadium is used to shootouts and OKST running away with the game, this feels like neither. Seems vegas is baiting the public into thinking a 2nd victory margin is likely.  I see the under and OKST by 7.
Notre Dame/Purdue OVER 59
My pal Josh is loaded up on this and I see Purdue needing to put up 25+ pts to have any shot.

Exacta San Fran -7, risk $75 tw $500

This game is tailored to SF’s strength and Chicago’s defensive weakness, running. I think SF will be up early,
maybe even by 3 touchdowns, but their prevent defense will allow Cutler two undeserved garbage tds.
SF 35 – CHI 28

3 Team Tease, $100 tw $150 (6pt +150)
SF-1
CIN+1.5
GB -1.5

Looks really good to me, Bears offensive potential only thing keeping me from a man-bet.

4 Team Parlay, $100 tw $550
Den-13
GB-7.5
NO Moneyline
NE Moneyline

I do love this bet. Rodgers over Geno, Peyton over A. Smith, Brees over Hoyer, Brady over Cassell.
Clear advantages for the top QBs in the league and the away teams just have to win outright. Denver destroys people at home and Green Bay will be out for blood, home vs a bad secondary.

Single Bets, risk $110 each

New Orleans/ Cleveland UNDER 48
Public is on the over hard. I see Browns giving Brees trouble for first half. NO 20-17

Philly +3
This line is odd to me opened at +5 and Indy is tempting with Luck at home. I feel that the Eagle
Offense is a matchup nightmare for the Colts and they will win outright. PHI 27-20

Carolina -2.5
Public on away Detroit after Megatron killed it on the national stage. Carolina’s defense was very good week one.
Look for Cam Newton to come back and rejuvenate the team to a home win. CAR 24-14

Cinci -4.5
This was the first line that stood out to me and tempting to take Atlanta with the momentum from their win over the Saints.
That would be a mistake as the Bengals defense if underrated and homefield could lead to a comfortable win. CIN 31-17

David Weeks

David Weeks

Once professional poker player and degenerate gambler for over a decade. Author for BetSome, US Poker School, and NJ Poker Site.
David Weeks

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