bgriff

NBA Title Bets – Value Plays

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There are a few spots worth noting in the recent release of odds to win the NBA title. Although likely that one of the big three teams (Golden St, Cleveland or San Antonio) wins it all, there is no current value in betting them as they are all under 3/1. Teams that are battle tested with veteran leadership and good coaching are decent teams to target despite long odds. Here’s a few I really like at the moment.

LA Clippers +2200 –
They can win on the road (18-10) which is one of the biggest factors for winning playoff series. The Clippers have kept pace with the top of the Western Conference often without Blake Griffin. Chris Paul is the best leader at the point guard position and has his best supporting cast yet with Redick, Pierce and Crawford. Unloading Lance Stephenson for Jeff Green at the trade deadline should give them an upgrade in both rebounding and offensive consistency. Assuming Griffin works through his issues and assumes the attitude of Paul, this veteran team could get through to the Finals.

Chicago Bulls +5500 –
They are never healthy, old and have no depth. But when they are healthy they can win any playoff series with heart alone. A front-court of Pau Gasol and Joakim Noah is very athletic and unselfish. They are team players that are aggressive on both sides of the ball. The Bulls will grind teams down defensively and force them into mistakes, but it is hard to envision them keeping pace with sharpshooting teams that utilize the 3 point shot well. If Derrick Rose and Jimmy Butler dominate they have a chance.

Miami Heat +6000 –
Miami probably has the best Coach in the East, decent depth, and above average players at every starting position. The difference in my mind of whether or not this would be worth a bet is the status of the blood clot in Chris Bosh’s leg. It seems as though he has health issues that can be life threatening and could retire soon. If that is not the case and he can continue at his all star level, combined with a resurgent Dwyane Wade, the Heat are great value at 60/1.

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