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ST. LOUIS, MO. November 16, - Wide receiver Kenny Britt #81 of the St. Louis Rams crosses the goal line with a 63 yard touchdown strike to make the score 10-0 in the first quarter against the Denver Broncos at Edward Jones Dome November 16, 2014 St. Louis, MO (Photo By Joe Amon/The Denver Post)

Week 9 NFL Picks

DENVER BRONCOS VS ST. LOUIS RAMS

15-9 record on the season after a 1-1 week and a push. Big win for me on the Bears Monday night as I bet 5 units and had a nice DFS finish as well in the Sunday night/Monday night Primetime contests. Good luck this week.

Panthers @ Rams

Rams +3
… IT’S A TRAP! Seriously, it is. If you’re not going to bet the Rams then just stay away. Public all over the Panthers but they were horrible all season until last week. I believe we see a similar outcome to the Rams-Seahawks game earlier this season when they won 9-3, which is why this line is so low.

Falcons @ Bucs

Bucs +3.5
Falcons are 2-2 the last 4 games, with all four games being won or lost by 1 score. Tampa Bay has beaten Atlanta already this yeah as well as Carolina, and comes off of a heartbreaking OT loss vs the Raiders. Bucs continue to be a thorn in the Falcons side this week.

Extra Sweat:
Giants -2.5 – Kind of a low/odd line in my opinion but the public is against them and the bye week should help a QB like Eli more than most.

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Week 8 NFL Picks

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14-8 record on the season after a 2-2 week. Another thing I’ve learned so far this season – although the public has already known this for a while – San Francisco is a very poor home team, and Oakland is a very good away team. Here are the plays I like for week 8 NFL.

Chiefs @ Colts

Colts +3
The Colts are a slightly better team than they look, mostly because Andrew Luck who is constantly bashed is a better QB than he looks at the moment too. The Chiefs are a force to be reckoned with at home, and although beating a good Raiders team in Oakland, got lit up in Pittsburgh 43-14 just a couple weeks ago. The Colts open this one up half way through and never look back.

Jets @ Browns

Browns +3
Cleveland wins their first game at home vs a struggling Jets team who play very poorly in other stadiums. Extra value as the line opened at 2 and has slowly moved to 3.

Redskins @ Bengals

Bengals -3
This is the only spot where I am with the public this week, as Washington looks a little inflated to me, Cincinnati can be a very tough place to play, and the Redskins have to travel cross country. Bengals handle them with ease.

Vikings @ Bears

Bears +6
Cutler’s first game back against a tough Vikings team who laid an egg at Phili last week. I look for Vikings’ woes to continue another week or 2 before getting it together. I also think 5.5 point lines tend to be a bettor’s trap, and it’s profitable to bet the dog.

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Week 7 NFL Picks

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12-6 record so far this season after a 2-1 week. I like a quite a few games this week, and here are my favorite plays for NFL week 7.

Vikings @ Eagles

Eagles +2.5
Minnesota off of a bye, which makes them an even heavier public favorite than they should be. Eagles still a great team at home (dismantling the Steelers) and a decent but struggling team away, with close losses to Detroit and division rival Redskins. Scary game to bet, as Minnesota’s defense is tops in the league and has had 2 weeks to prepare for rookie Wentz, but I’m going against the grain in this spot.

Raiders @ Jaguars

Jaguars +1
Raiders traveling across the country to play a struggling Jaguars team. Only problem is the Raiders are 3-0 away this year, and all the games were on the east coast: Saints, Titans, and Ravens. Two of these games however, were 1 point victories. Jags win a close one at the end in what could be a shootout.

Bucs @ 49ers

49ers +2
San Fran looks about as bad as it gets right now, but that was to be expected with Kap playing at Buffalo in his first game back. Bucs off a bye and have been a small public favorite this year, after beating Atlanta and Carolina. I’m going to fade the trap and bet that Kap has a much better game two, home vs a much worse defense. I also expect Hyde to have a pretty big game as the 49ers look to pound the ground all day. Buyer beware: San Fran has been the team that has burned me this season twice.

Chargers @ Falcons

Chargers +7
The only away team I like this week in this fantasy footballer’s wet dream of a matchup. I think the line is perfect, but can’t help but bet the Chargers who have 3 of their losses by 1, 3, and 4 points as well as their 4th loss by 6 in OT. This trend continues from last year and is part of their basic makeup as a team that is in almost every game at the end, due to their subpar defense and great QB. I look for this game to go the same way.

Extra Sweat:
Dolphins +3: Home dog getting 3 points in a division rivalry is usually a bet, but the Bills have McCoy and Miami is poor against the run. I might put a unit or less on the Fins though as I believe the situation dictates it.